Deeper Into Planetary Flux | DocWeather: New Climate Research

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Deeper Into Planetary Flux - 07.14.04

For a more advanced look into the planetary flux model the Great Midwest Flood of 1993 is illustrated.

Climatology is the study of weather patterns that happen in specific time periods. As such there is an inherent paradox in climatology . The paradox is that the patterns repeat and are recognizable as a result, but paradoxically, they don�(tm)t repeat every year in the same way. In the paradoxical language of climatology these patterns in the atmosphere are said to be semi-permanent. Their semi-permanence makes them difficult to recognize as patterns. Climatology then, gives probabilities that a particular semi-permanent pattern will repeat in a given year and the study of the rhythmic occurrences of the semi permanent patterns is the fundamental concern of the modeling.

It has long been recognized that rhythmic patterns of the fluctuation of the semi-permanent features often occurs in periods of approximately ten years. Climatologists know this fact as "decadal influences":glossary. No one really knows why these patterns show up in approximately ten-year intervals and yet they often seem to follow this pattern of reoccurrence. Of course even decadal influences are semi-permanent. That is, a particular pattern may emerge for two or three decades in regular ten-year rhythms and then suddenly shift to the opposite pattern for a few decades. Once again, paradox rules these studies but the manifestation of some sort of decadal influence in climate modeling is not really questioned. The question revolves around the why of decadal influences not the what.

Fig.1

It is in these situations that the planetary flux model can provide some insights. Planetary flux is based on the concept that the motions of the eclipses through the zodiac follow a regular 9.3-year rhythm. For instance, an eclipse happening over the coast of California in a given year occurs in a particular longitude. Nine and a half years later an eclipse will occur in approximately the same longitude. This pattern is due to the backward or retrograde motion of the eclipse point through the zodiac during the 9.3year interval. Generally eclipses occur in sets of two. This means that during the eclipse period there will be two points in specific longitudes that will have significance for climate modeling. In figure 1 a chart is shown that has a lunar eclipse and a solar eclipse placed over the West Coast of the United States. It is the chart for the summer of 1983. The two points are found in the eastern Pacific. From each point a radius line is drawn to the east at 45 degrees of arc along the circle. The whole of each circle is included in this first chart to illustrate the principle. We can see from the chart that each circle has the label jet curve . The circle whose center is the solar eclipse is the solar jet curve and the circle whose center is the lunar eclipse is the lunar jet curve. We can also see that where the two circles meet east of the points there is a narrow area that brackets the Mississippi Valley. This area is at an angle of 45 degrees of arc from the eclipse point since the lunar jet curve and solar jet curve are both found at 45 degrees from their respective eclipse points. In practice there is another zone like this composed of two jet curves at 72 degrees from the two eclipse points. The 72�° jet curves are not shown.

The jet curve represents an area where a heightened response can be observed when other planets move in the vicinity of its central eclipse point. It has been observed that each eclipse point has a wave around it similar to the concentric circles that arise when a pebble is dropped into water. The only difference being that the concentric wave around an eclipse point is a standing wave that doesn�(tm)t dissipate but fluctuates according to the motions of other planets approaching the eclipse points. In times when there is a lot of planetary activity around an eclipse point then the standing wave or jet curve is also active. When there is little activity the jet curves tend to stagnate or be unremarkable. Since there are two eclipse points usually forming within 15 or 16 degrees of each other every six months the two jet curves at 45 degrees from each point form an area of heightened sensitivity to planetary flux patterns. These areas can be relied upon to be strong influences on climatic rhythms during selected time frames.

For over two decades the relationships between eclipse points and their accompanying jet curves and the climatic placements of the double jet curves, have been studied in relation to fluctuations of the jet stream. This has been modeled by placing data taken from daily fax maps of the northern hemisphere at the 500mb level onto charts such as figure 1. This approach has allowed for a pragmatic and precise analysis of fluxing patterns of the polar jet stream. These climatic events have been integrated into the fluxing patterns and unusual motion in arc events of the planets during the same time frames. This approach has shown repeatedly that planetary flux has a significant and predictable relationship to climatic change and that the placement of active double jet curves in climatologically significant areas during specific time frames can shed light on climatic phenomena. One such event was that in the summer of 1983 a very dry July evolved suddenly in what otherwise was a good growing year. We can see this pattern in the next chart.

Fig.2

In figure 2 the July pattern is depicted. Jupiter is in an approach to the eclipse points and during July forms relationships to the solar eclipse point that support the building of a high- pressure area on the solar jet curve. The solar jet curve is crossing the high plains at this time. Any tendency towards high pressure will block the movement of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into the Midwest. The chart shows a high placed on the solar jet curve blocking the rains. The month before in June of 1983 the two eclipses happened. The first eclipse was on June 11th and the second was on June 25th. The two weeks between the lunar and solar eclipses is often one of the most turbulent of the six months. As a result the preceding month was wet for the Midwest. When the eclipse points shifted Jupiter ended up being in an approach mode to the new points. Most often when a planet is approaching a set of eclipse points the area between the double jet curves supports high-pressure. In this unusual pattern of wet then dry, this is just what happened. The eclipse event has suddenly made Jupiter an influence over the Midwest when the month before it was not near enough to the eclipse points to be an influence. So the result was that the summer of 1983 in the Midwest was considered to be a drought year.

Fig.3

If we fast-forward the eclipse points so that it is 9.3 years later (figure 3.) we are now in the spring of 1993. A December set of eclipses had placed the jet curves within two degrees of the 1983 placement. During the time February to May, a strong ridge over the High Plains had kept the Midwest very dry. With the first eclipse on May 21st the ridge began to break down over the High Plains accompanied by sporadic rains. The second eclipse of the pair was on June 3rd. The rains began in earnest and by the end of the month what looked like a drought year had turned into the flood of the century. The turnaround point was, once again, the period of the two eclipses.

In this chart the darker lines are the most important ones. There is a 72 degree jet curve from the solar eclipse point that just brushes the eastern coast of Florida. This line was strongly aspected by the node to high pressure as the node stood on station for most of June and then moved in arc to high pressure on the same line on the 9th of July. Numerous other high-pressure aspects on this point supported this placement during this time. These unusual placements kept the 72 degree jet curve from the solar eclipse point strongly aspected to high pressure during June and July. This was coincident with an unusually strong and westerly placed Bermuda High that brought up moisture into the Midwest from he western Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico. The unusual placement and the longevity of the blocking pattern of the Bermuda High was the source of the unusual rains in the upper Midwest that season. The arrow on the western side of the high-pressure area depicts this over the southwest. Once again the shift of the points of an eclipse pair was coincident with the shift of a climate regime. The coincidence of the eclipse shift and the shift of an established regime is a common feature of the planetary flux model. Most drought conditions are broken in this way and there is often a strong correlation between the jet curve influences in major flood patterns.

The features of the planetary flux model illustrated in this article are but rudimentary sketches of the power of this system. Often the flux patterns of planets are much more complex than those illustrated. Protocols have been developed for these complex situations that allow for prioritizing and weighting of the motion in arc variables. A complete grid-work of jet curves has been developed and analog studies going back to the 1950s are systematically being done to provide numerous case studies for particular placements. The case studies serve as reference points when predictions are being made. The charts themselves have undergone a radical development over twenty years. At present, a system of harmonic relationships that resembles the building of chords in musical notation has been worked out through observation and experiment. This system allows for intricate counterpoint patterns to be analyzed and for accurate predictions to be made.

Research into El Nino and La Nina patterns has been ongoing for the past fifteen years. During the great El Nino of 1998 it became clear that a strong element in the onset and severity of El Nino events was the linkage between the position in longitude of a planet over the Pacific and its period of retrograde motion. Making graphs of the month-to-month Sea Surface Temperature (SST) fluctuations over the Pacific since 1950 and indexing these changes against the positions of planets and their retrograde periods established this. From this work a paper on the canonical El Nino was produced. The El Ninos of 1982 and 1998 have been studied in detail since then. These researches have shown that planetary flux can be a reliable indicator of the onset and severity of El Nino events and could be an aid to more conventional research on that subject.

The greatest challenge to the planetary flux model is the integration of that model with climatic scenarios that are constant in a given longitude. Certain sectors like the Aleutian chain or Vancouver Island on the west coast, or Alberta, Canada, or the Hudson Bay are focal points of climatic energies that have their own seasonal requirements. The ongoing work in planetary flux is to link these areas to the jet curve studies and provide analog case studies for major weather events in the past as an aid to the accurate prediction of shifting climatic regimes in the future. The planetary flux model has proved to be a reliable contribution towards that goal.