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Mercury joins the mid Pacific fleet. - 11.28.06


The recent Mercury loop was coincident with rising SSTs in the central Pacific.


Fig.1


Fig.1
Mercury loop in central Pacific late Oct. and Nov. 06

It is interesting to note in this chart from a great NOAA website on El Nino that the recent retrograde squeeze by Mercury in the mid Pacific was accompanied by radically elevated Sea Surface Temperatures in that precise longitude. The chart is a section of the Pacific from 5N latitude to 5S latitude. The sample time frame for October and November is read across the chart starting in the western Pacific at 120E and moving through the dateline at 180 lon, then continuing on to 80W which is the longitude of the west coast of Peru. In the chart it can be seen that up until April 2006 the central and eastern Pacific was the site of anomalously cool water. Starting in the summer the western Pacific shows a slight warming until in August and September the area around the dateline begins to warm significantly.

At that time the eastern Pacific off of Peru begins to warm up. Then suddenly just as Mercury went retrograde at the dateline the center of very intense warming shifted to the central Pacific. This was coincident with the rapid deceleration of Mercury into thestation retrograde period in the last week of October. The heating is then centered on the very spot of the Mercury loop as the planet slowly makes its way to the west over the next month. The SSTs in the area of the loop become the center of warmth while the areas to the east begin to lose their heat. This pattern continued into the third week of November and the heat stayed dominant there until the last day of station on November 20. At that time Mercury, Venus, Mars and Jupiter began a tandem movement to the east from the dateline.

The indication that this is going to shift the values in the Pacific is the little sliver of deepening warmth just at 100W to 105W at the very bottom of the chart.It is very hard to see that sliver on the chart accompanying this article. However go onto the site mentioned in the beginning of the article and see for yourself that it is a slim harbinger of things to come. In the coming days as the four planets begin the Kelvin wave motion once again we can expect that this sliver in the eastern Pacific will become a more dominant feature of the warmth economy of the equatorial Pacific while the pocket of warmth in the central Pacific near the dateline slowly is shunted to the east by the Kelvin circulation. This warmth migration should follow the paths of Venus, Mercury and finally Mars across the eastern Pacific into the area of Nino 1+2 between 100W and 80W just around Christmas. Stay tuned.