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West Coast Outlook 2005 - 07.16.04


A twelve month forecast of the significant weather events of 2005 for the West Coast.

In order that you have the maximum satisfaction using the outlook section of Doc Weather it is useful to refer to the article Using the Outlooks that gives indications about some of the features of this section. If you do this before going into the outlooks and also look in the feature things to look for to find more information about the charts for the year 2005 your reading pleasure will be greatly enhanced.


Fig.1


Fig.1

Figure 1 shows the jet stream being pushed far to the north by high-pressure areas on the continent. The jet then drops into the Midwest and the Northeast bringing weather into those areas. Doc Weather feels that this is going to be a dominant pattern this coming year.

The chart also shows why this forecast is being made. It contains a geometric set of curves known in Doc Weather as jet curves . These harmonious looking jet curves come from both the eastern and western pair of eclipse points. In the chart these jet curves are depicted as having a high- pressure value on them. Jupiter in the west and the node in the east should dominate these curves. When both are set to high pressure then expect a strong high to grow in the vicinity of the 72° jet curves from each set of eclipse points.The chart in figure 1 shows how the jet stream should respond when high-pressure dominates both sets of jet curves.

The 72° jet curves cross each other over the Great Basin. The image shows that when Jupiter and the node are working together to produce high pressure on the jet curves we should look for frigid temperatures in the eastern third of the country this winter.


Fig.2


Fig.2

This second image shows the resulting pattern when the eastern and western pairs of eclipse points are influenced towards low pressure simultaneously. Then the polar jet stream moves horizontally across the continent bringing milder weather farther south but enhancing the production of snow in the Great Lakes area and the Northeast. These two patterns should be the major storm patterns this winter as the eclipse positions put the crossing point of the 72° jet curves over the Great Basin. With this as a background let's look at a long term forecast for the West Coast climate patterns as seen by Doc Weather for 2005.

Look for moderate to good rains for most of January north and south with a cooling trend starting in the third week when Mercury and Mars cross the polar 90° points in tandem. Tandem crossings generate the most turbulence. This kind of crossing often results in a southerly jet stream. Look for storms in the western third of the nation. Rains should turn spotty early in February as Jupiter becomes active at high- pressure values on the western eclipse points. Then look for rains at midmonth turning mild with intermittent fronts later in the month. Mercury and Saturn aspecting the eastern pair of eclipse points over western Africa in early March should shift the patterns in the west to mildness as March looks to come in like a lamb. A late March Jupiter influence on the western eclipse points looks to clear the skies on the West Coast. Mercury, Venus and the node on the eastern pair of eclipse points should create disturbances in the PNW. From this shift mid April storms should break the dryness in the PNW then mild and dry conditions should prevail to both north and south as Jupiter influenced high pressure dominates the West Coast north and south. A Jupiter shift on the western points should stimulate mid May rains to fall in the PNW, while it stays dry to the south. Watch for the node moving on the eastern pair to produce cool and unsettled weather to the north in early June shifting to dry and warm conditions late as the node moves to high pressure in the last week. For July, expect hot conditions to the south while unsettled and cool weather dominates to the north. The node on the eastern pair should keep high pressure stable on the West Coast, while Jupiter on the western pair shifts the eastern Pacific to intermittent low pressure impulses in the PNW. Look for things to still remain unsettled in PNW in August with moderate rains in late August and early September, while it is still dry and warm to the south. In late September and early October look for a strong Jupiter shift on the western pair of points to send the storm jet to the south bringing weak to moderate early fronts into N California. Eclipses in October once again shift the eclipse grid farther to the west. Watch for strong weather down along the coast in late October as the node shifts to low-pressure on the eastern pair. In mid November look for first true winter storms continuing into early December. In Mid December expect clearing and mild conditions until the New Year to the north and south.