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November Weekly Weather Outlook - 10.13.04


This article gives predictions for the placement of significant weather events in the coming month.

November 2004 week 1 a cow with its tail to the east makes weather a beast
The snapshot is the most likely chart for the period between the 4th and the 6th. The jet stream pattern is most likely a split jet with one branch going south and another branch going across the northern tier of states then meeting a trough over the East Coast.


Fig.1


Fig.1

West Coast- Cold fronts from the Gulf of Alaska should run down the coast producing scattered light to moderate rains in the PNW and N.CA 3rd to 5th.
High Plains- Dry in the northern Great Basin with moderate to good rain/snow in the Northern Plains MN to Chicago, 4th to the 7th.
Corn Belt - Watch for the jet stream to drop south into Kansas at midweek and then shift eastward for good to moderate rain/snow/cold, KS to TN, 5th to the 7th.
East Coast- Much colder with scattered rains Mid Atlantic states and possibly farther south at the week's end.


Fig.2


Fig.2

November 2004 week 2 the word goes to the wind but the wind goes to the bone

This weeks chart is difficult to make due to the many shifting movements among the planets. As a result the chart doesn't depict the most likely pattern for a particular time. It shows the general placements for high and low pressure areas for the major portions of the week and an unsettled character for the weather in most places.

West Coast- General high-pressure over the West with warm temperatures and weak fronts into PNW and N.CA with possible localized moderate rains 7th to 10th.
High Plains- High-pressure over the basin and range area and the Southwest. A front line from the Dakotas to Texas should produce moderate cool fronts into TX after the 12th.
Corn Belt- Look for low-pressure over the Gulf Coast with moderate fronts after the 13th, in the west and colder in the southeast.
East Coast- Look for fronts from southwest to northeast and much colder from the11th to 14th. Drier to the north and wetter to the south


Fig.3


Fig.3

November 2004 week 3 the north wind drives all beauty from the rose
The Gulf of Alaska should be open for business this week. Look for mostly low-pressure across the continent from Denver east, with a more southerly storm jet than in the past few weeks as the high over the northeast weakens and runs towards Iceland allowing the cold air to exit the continent on the east coast.

West Coast- A strong winter storm should move into the PNW and N.CA, on the16th or 17th. Look for high-pressure to the south on the West Coast to steer the polar jet into northern California for some good rains. Watch for this pattern again at the end of the week.
High Plains- A strong storm with snow should weaken considerably crossing the mountains as it drops south. Watch for it to regroup east of Denver from the 17th to the 19th.
Corn Belt- Look for a moderate to strong storm across the southern Plains into the Central States with possible heavy snow on a track from Denver to the Great Lakes, 19th to 22nd
East Coast - Look for rain from Washington D.C. to New York at week's end, with drier conditions to the Northeast.


Fig.4


Fig.4

November 2004 week4 a coming storm your aching corns presage
A gradual shift to high-pressure in Alaska as the week develops should initiate another round of storms at the end of the week. Storm energies should arise on the other end of the continent with the eventual formation of a trough on the East Coast. The snapshot is later in the week as the high in Alaska has driven the storm jet south on the West Coast. It looks once again like the Denver shuttle will be active with the difference that at the end of the week a cold surge on the East Coast should meet any transiting storms with storm producing forces for the Mid Atlantic states.

West Coast- Warmer at the beginning of the week as a high surges north along the coast. This should change to colder with moderate fronts near to the 22nd and 23rd in N California and the PNW.
High Plains- Clear and temperate early changing to cold and snow across the northern mountain states intensifying as the storm surges into the continental divide near the 25th to the 27th.
Corn Belt- Watch for snow flurries 21st to 23rd Central States, then much colder, Chicago and east 26th to 30th.
East Coast- Cold into southeast 22nd to 24th.accompanied by moderate rains in the Mid Atlantic states, then much colder 28th to 30th.