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Climate patterns for 2005 - 01.14.05


Doc Weather analyses the climate patterns and eclipse influences most likely to produce the weather in 2005.


In order that you have the maximum satisfaction using the outlook section of Doc Weather it is useful to refer to the article Using the Outlooks that gives indications about some of the features of this section. If you do this before going into the outlooks your reading pleasure will be greatly enhanced.


Fig.1


Fig.1

Figure 1 shows the jet stream being pushed far to the north by high-pressure areas on the continent. The jet then drops into the Midwest and the Northeast bringing weather into those areas. Doc Weather feels that this is going to be a dominant pattern this coming year.

The chart also shows why this forecast is being made. It contains a geometric set of curves known in Doc Weather as jet curves These harmonious looking jet curves come from both the eastern and western pair of eclipse points. In the chart these jet curves are depicted as having a high- pressure value on them. Jupiter in the west and the node in the east should dominate these curves. When both are set to high pressure then expect a strong high to grow in the vicinity of the 72° jet curves from each set of eclipse points.The chart in figure 1 shows how the jet stream should respond when high-pressure dominates both sets of jet curves.

The 72° jet curves cross each other over the Great Basin. The image shows that when Jupiter and the node are working together to produce high pressure on the jet curves we should look for frigid temperatures in the eastern third of the country this winter.


Fig.2


Fig.2

This second image shows the resulting pattern when the eastern and western pairs of eclipse points are influenced towards low pressure simultaneously. Then the polar jet stream moves horizontally across the continent bringing milder weather farther south but enhancing the production of snow in the Great Lakes area and the Northeast. These two patterns should be the major storm patterns this winter as the eclipse positions put the crossing point of the 72° jet curves over the Great Basin. With this as a background let's look at a long term forecast for the West Coast as seen by Doc Weather for 2005.

West coast;

Look for moderate to good rains for most of January north and south with a cooling trend starting in the third week when Mercury and Mars cross the polar 90° points in tandem. Tandem crossings generate the most turbulence. This kind of crossing often results in a southerly jet stream. Look for storms in the western third of the nation. Rains should turn spotty early in February as Jupiter becomes active at high- pressure values on the western eclipse points. Then look for rains at midmonth turning mild with intermittent fronts later in the month. Mercury and Saturn aspecting the eastern pair of eclipse points over western Africa in early March should shift the patterns in the west to mildness as March looks to come in like a lamb. A late March Jupiter influence on the western eclipse points looks to clear the skies on the West Coast. Mercury, Venus and the node on the eastern pair of eclipse points should create disturbances in the PNW. From this shift mid April storms should break the dryness in the PNW then mild and dry conditions should prevail to both north and south as Jupiter influenced high pressure dominates the West Coast north and south. A Jupiter shift on the western points should stimulate mid May rains to fall in the PNW, while it stays dry to the south. Watch for the node moving on the eastern pair to produce cool and unsettled weather to the north in early June shifting to dry and warm conditions late as the node moves to high pressure in the last week. For July, expect hot conditions to the south while unsettled and cool weather dominates to the north. The node on the eastern pair should keep high pressure stable on the West Coast, while Jupiter on the western pair shifts the eastern Pacific to intermittent low pressure impulses. Look for things to still remain unsettled in PNW in August with moderate rains in late August and early September, while it is still dry and warm to the south. In late September and early October look for a strong Jupiter shift on the western pair of points to send the storm jet to the south bringing weak to moderate early fronts into N California. Eclipses in October once again shift the eclipse grid farther to the west. Watch for strong weather down along the coast in late October as the node shifts to low-pressure on the eastern pair. In mid November look for first true winter storms continuing into early December. In Mid December expect clearing and mild conditions until the New Year to the north and south.

Mountain / High Plains

Look for a stormy beginning of the year with snow during the first three weeks culminating in a blizzard at the end of January. An unusual split combination of jet curves from the eastern and western pair of eclipse points that crosses over Denver should be the center of the action at this time. This is supported both by Jupiter in the west and the node in the east. The turbulence in the intermountain areas should peak in the last week of January as both Mercury and Venus approach the polar 90 points in tandem from the west. Expect strong cold in the mountains in the first week of February from a strong coastal high in Alaska. Jupiter and the node are working together on this one. Then watch for clearing and gradually milder temperatures through the month, especially in the south. Watch for a dominating pattern of mildness to the south and a horizontal storm jet across the north. A series of intermittent values on both the eastern and western pair of points should support milder conditions for a while. Variable weather continuing into early in March should then lead to strong storms at mid-month as the node in the east, Jupiter in the west and Mars approaching the polar 90 points become active in the support of turbulence. A return to mild weather with high pressure over the western states and a strong cold storm should unfold at the end of the month as these aspects diminish. April should begin with warmer and drier weather to the south with weak to moderate fronts to the north. An April eclipse will shift the eclipse grid ever so slightly to the west, directly over the intermountain areas. The shift occurs in the the center of a cluster of Mercury, the node and Venus. As these planets rapidly shift aspects as they transit the polar 90 points late in the month, look for a set of storms in the mountains. May should bring warm and dry weather to the south with the storm jet moving horizontally from the Dakotas to the Great Lakes for week 2 and 3, and dry and warmer conditions north and south in the last week. Counter pointed low pressure movements by both Jupiter and the node should keep the weather unsettled at midmonth. June should be dominated by a pattern where the south is settled, warm and dry and the north has intermittent moderate fronts moving horizontally across the Dakotas about once every week. July should see this intermittent pattern dry up in the first week as a Jupiter motion on the western pair of eclipse points supports high pressure over the northwest. Look for moderate rains to resume through midmonth with a strong storm in the last week. Thunderstorms through the Dakotas and south High Plains should arise at mid-month and again at the beginning of the third week and again at month's end. Settled weather should dominate September until week 3 when moderate fronts pass to the north and then repeat this pattern again at month's end. October looks mostly dry with warming trends at mid-month. Cooling in November with strong storms in the third week signals the beginning of storm season. Early in week 1 of December look for a strong, cold storm from the Dakotas to Kansas. Watch for warming late in the second week. Late rains in the last week lead to the New Year.

Mid Continent

January begins with rain and snow in the first week followed by cold and then another storm from Kansas to Ohio at midmonth. Look for brief clearing and then a very strong storm with a cold wave following at month's end. The major weather maker is the cluster of jet curves from the eastern and western pair of eclipse points that converge over the High Plains during the winter. Strong support from both Jupiter in the west and the lunar node in the east should keep storms coming into the continent for the first three weeks of January. The pattern should shift to several warmer Alberta Clippers early in February as Jupiter and the node shift the values on the grid to low pressure. There should be a zonal flow across Canada to replace the meridional trough formation from Canada of the first few weeks of January. Then, back to a trough formation in the Midwest bringing cold between Kansas and Ohio at the end of the third week. Watch for a shift to milder and more settled weather at the end of February to continue into the middle of March as intermittent values from Jupiter and the node depress the tendency for strong block and trough formation. A Jupiter motion in arc on the western eclipse points in the last week looks to stimulate the weather to bring March out like a lion. Cooler and unsettled weather with intermittent thunderstorms from mid-March should carry over until the last few days of March when severe tornado warnings should be seen from N Texas to Kansas. Venus is pulling away from and Mars is approaching the polar 90 lines over the Great Basin at this time. These rapidly shifting events should stimulate strong vortexial potentials in the High Plains just as the Moon transits the eclipse points at month's end putting a lot of unsettled energies into the eclipse grid. This looks like a major confluence of motion in arc events.

April should then turn clear and mild with gradual warming along the Gulf Coast and the High Plains and east. An eclipse in the second week of April should bring unsettled conditions into week 3 especially along the Gulf Coast. The unsettled energies will also find support from a Mercury station direct aspect during the time of the eclipse. Watch for strong storm energies from the northeast to meet with monsoon patterns from the gulf Coast at this time. The Gulf Coast monsoon should then support strong storms in the central states at month's end. May should see intermittent patterns with moderate fronts and rains in the central states early and late. Jupiter and the node trade off creating low- pressure values over the west during May with many conflicting shifts. This pattern usually yields intermittent fronts that can bring locally heavy rains to the Midwest but not the two- day soakers that can change the complexion of a planting season. Intermittent scattered fronts at about seven day intervals over the whole month will be punctuated by widespread good rains in the second week of June. The new eclipse positions are slightly to the west of the old positions. The 45° jet curve from the eastern pair of eclipse points is close up against the east coast of Florida this summer. This should act to stimulate the Bermuda high when high- pressure values from the node are present on the eastern pair. When the high over Bermuda grows and is situated close to the East Coast, then the Gulf of Mexico monsoon is stimulated to bring moisture up into the Midwest. This should allow for the entry of troughs into the Midwest in the late summer and early fall. High pressure over the inter mountain west should push the jet stream far to the north in the west bringing cold air down to meet the moist monsoon.

Early July should bring dryness to the northern and western areas of the Midwest with possibly very moist conditions in the Central States. Late July and early August should see a break in this pattern to dryness in the east and intermittent rains to the west. A period of strong storms in the Chicago area should arise in mid August followed by a week of widespread warm and dry weather then ending the month with moderate rains in the eastern sectors. A significant shift for Jupiter and the node in late August should reinforce a blocking high pattern over the Northwest and send the continental jet stream up into Canada. Look for a cold breakout into the Midwest at the end of the first week of September. The rest of the month looks dry to the west with intermittent fronts to the northeast leading to widespread storm energies in the third week, except for western regions. October brings a new set of eclipses that pushes the eclipse grid farther to the west(figure 3). This new placement finds the polar 90 lines placed squarely over the mountain states and the east coast bracketed with 45° jet curves from the eastern pair. This means that any influences from the eastern pair should significantly influence the east coast for the fall and winter of 2005. Also, the 72° jet curves from the eastern pair are sitting directly in the continental storm gate in the Pacific Northwest. This is a significant placement for these curves also in response to the action of the lunar node on the eastern pair of points. Early October should see a continuation of dryness to the west and moderate settled weather in most other areas with strong cold coming into the Dakotas and reaching the Gulf Coast at month's end. November begins with cold bursts from Minnesota south into the central states as the lunar node brings low pressure values into the Great Lakes area. Storms begin to arrive in the central states by the third week and continue into the last week of the month. December arrives also with a storm in the first week, but then warmer and wetter conditions arise across the north, as Pacific Maritime air masses make their way into the Continent bringing snows and rain to the Great Lakes near Christmas.

East Coast

Look for the Greenland Block to be active this winter on the East Coast. Expect storms late in week 1 and 2 of January 2005. The motions on the eastern and western pair of eclipse points are mixed for the first week then a strong low- pressure value arises in the second week over the Maritimes. Watch the Northeast for unusual events at that time. On the 14th the node shifts to high-pressure values against the coast. This should block any transiting storm's progress and send it up the coast. Watch for a strong nor'easter mid way through week 3. In late January cold should dominate the mid Atlantic states. Then another nor'easter should add to the misery followed by cold late in the first week of February as the node shifts to low-pressure values against the east coast. Watch for a cold front late in the second week as the storm center bringing Pacific moisture across the northern tier, shifts into New England by virtue of a low-pressure center in the Pacific Northwest. A final cold week with storms can be expected before a break in week 4 of February as fronts should start moving directly off of the coast and the trough in the Maritimes should weaken. In early March look for variable weather resulting in thunderstorms and squalls from Washington to New York. This should shift to low-pressure in the Rockies allowing the storm jet to swing horizontally across the country bringing milder weather to the northeast but thunderstorms and unsettled weather to the mid Atlantic coast. A gradual return to the East Coast trough pattern should start in the latter half of March bringing cold weather and winter storms to the East Coast as the node on the eastern pair of eclipse points dominates the continent with a return to high pressure on the jet curves.

Eclipses in mid-April should keep the pattern unsettled on the East Coast especially during the second week. Watch for a strong storm on the coast early in the second week. As Mercury approaches the eastern pair in the third week look for cold and storms to the north. Warming from the south in the third week should yield to cooler weather at month's end as a spring return to winter finds a trough once again appearing in the Northeast. May should see the activation of a Kentucky to New York storm track keeping the weather wet and unseasonably cool most of the month. As the storm activity shifts to the Midwest look for below normal temperatures in the eastern third with increased monsoon activity in the southeast late in May as a coming attraction for the summer. This trend should continue through June with the first real warmth arriving in the last week. July should return to the cool/wet pattern on the eastern seaboard until mid month when warm trends arise in the south and mid Atlantic states. Watch for cool to linger in New England while the southeast becomes soggy. The node that has an extended stay at high- pressure values through late June and most of July dominate these patterns. August should not change this overall pattern with warm and moist to the south and moderate to cool in the Northeast with strong rains late in the last two weeks. Weak rains with cool to moderate temperatures in the north should characterize the September shift into fall with good rains with widespread coverage in the third week as a shift in the node establishes a Greenland Block in the northeast sending the jet stream to the south in the eastern third of the continent. Look for the first snow in the northeast in the last week of September. An October eclipse will shift the eclipse grid to the west putting the 72° jet curves from both pairs of eclipse points strongly to the west over the Great Basin. This move should allow the polar jet to drop into the continent much farther to the west than in the summer. This means that the tendency towards very cold and unseasonable weather in the Northeast in particular and the East Coast in general should change in the last week of October. Look for cool and unsettled weather in October, especially in weeks three and four. The unsettled weather should carry over into November with a break in mid November as high-pressure establishes itself over the Northwest sending strong cold into the Midwest. Look for cold temperatures in the southeast late in the second week of November and a strong storm in the third week. Expect nor'easter patterns in weeks 1 and 2 of December with warming towards Christmas and unsettled again for the New Year.