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hurricane Stan bulletin - 10.03.05


This just in on Hurricane Stan.

This is just a note to the hurricane watchers on the site. Doc weather predicted the new position for the jet curve from the eclipse on the 3rd to be at approximately 86° w longitude. At the present time there is an upper level trough that is digging into the northeastern quadrant of the Gulf of Mexico along that jet curve. This trough is now moving within the outflow circulation of hurricane Stan. A move like this is attractive to the low pressure center of a large storm.

This storm is presently on a westerly track after exiting the Yucatan peninsula. The official track has always been that the storm would move over Central America. Now the official forecast is beginning to include some possible eclipse influenced parameters. This can be seen in the following bulletin from.a greathurricane site

HOWEVER A DEVELOPING MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE OVER THE EASTERN GULF COULD COMPLICATE THE STEERING PATTERN. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT STAN COULD BECOME VERTICALLY DECOUPLED WHEN IT REACHES THE COAST...AND THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL PART OF THE CIRCULATION DRAGGED EASTWARD INTO THE ABOVEMENTIONED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION(from the digging trough on the jet curve)...WHILE THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER MOVES INLAND AND DISSIPATES. THE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS FORECAST IS INCREASING.

Stay tuned to the further movements of hurricane Stan.