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Frances and Old Man Winter - 09.01.04


Hurricane Frances may have a memorable meeting with Old Man Winter over the Midwest next week.

Frances meets Old Man Winter


Fig.1


Fig.1

In the next week or so the meeting of a hurricane and a stronger than normal early cold surge, will most likely provide intense conditions for the eastern third of the United States. Hurricane Frances, now just north of the Dominican Republic, is on a classic track for the southeastern US. In the first image we see one of the dominant eclipse lines for this season, a 72° jet curve line from the lunar eclipse point at 19° Aries. At this time the lunar node is aspecting this line to a high-pressure value. This is coincident with a buildup of high-pressure over the Southwest. At the same time Jupiter has moved to high-pressure values on the western eclipse points. This places high-pressure in the eastern Pacific. On the 28th of August when Jupiter went to this high-pressure aspect to both eclipse points a strong surge of high-pressure came out of the mid Pacific and moved up forcefully into the Bering Sea area. This surge is still dominating the central Gulf of Alaska. A likely scenario is that both the high-pressure in the Southwest and in the Gulf of Alaska will eventually link up with each other making a pipeline for cold temperatures from western Canada into the Midwest near to the 11th of September.

Hurricane Frances, now passing the Dominican Republic and moving towards the Southeast US should make a landfall within the next few days. The parabolic curve for this storm should bring it across the southeast and up the east coast during the first week of September. A good tracking line for this storm would be to follow the same72° jet curve from the lunar eclipse point at 19° Aries. This is in fact, a potential track given by the National Weather Service at this time.

A scenario placing Frances moving inland north along the mountain ranges of the east coast and a trough of cold air from Canada moving south across the High Plains in the same time frame puts a front line across the Corn Belt. This is a scenario for potentially intensive rains somewhere in the second week of September when Frances meets Old Man Winter over the grain producing states.